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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
LINCOLN CITY vs. HEREFORD
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
No equivalent historical matches with identical ELO scores.
A historical comparison of Lincoln City's and Hereford's ELO scores.
| Lincoln City | Hereford | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 3733.9 | 3083.4 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3856 Monday, August 27, 1956 |
3777.9 Saturday, September 4, 1976 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 3261.6 Saturday, March 17, 2012 |
2756.8 Friday, December 26, 2014 |
A summary of all historical matches between Lincoln City and Hereford.
| Venue | Played | Lincoln City wins |
Draws | Hereford wins |
Lincoln City goals |
Hereford goals |
Lincoln City SR% |
Hereford SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 42 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 67 | 47 | 63.1% | 36.9% |
| HOME | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 21 | 78.6% | 21.4% |
| AWAY | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 26 | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 NOV 2013 | CONF | Lincoln City (3311) |
1 - 1 | Hereford United (3349) |
0.1 |
| 24 SEP 2013 | CONF | Hereford United (3380) |
1 - 0 | Lincoln City (3348) |
7.9 |
| 16 FEB 2013 | CONF | Hereford United (3403) |
3 - 2 | Lincoln City (3286) |
5.7 |
| 17 NOV 2012 | CONF | Lincoln City (3332) |
3 - 2 | Hereford United (3409) |
11 |
| 5 FEB 2011 | LGE | Hereford United (3474) |
0 - 1 | Lincoln City (3437) |
12.3 |
| 8 JAN 2011 | CUP | Lincoln City (3399) |
3 - 4 | Hereford United (3420) |
5.3 |
| 27 NOV 2010 | CUP | Hereford United (3415) |
2 - 2 | Lincoln City (3413) |
0.7 |
| 20 NOV 2010 | LGE | Lincoln City (3414) |
3 - 1 | Hereford United (3439) |
14.2 |
| 12 MAR 2010 | LGE | Lincoln City (3419) |
3 - 1 | Hereford United (3438) |
13.9 |
| 2 FEB 2010 | LGE | Hereford United (3454) |
2 - 0 | Lincoln City (3439) |
12.4 |
| 24 MAR 2008 | LGE | Lincoln City (3485) |
2 - 1 | Hereford United (3628) |
12.6 |
| 8 DEC 2007 | LGE | Hereford United (3598) |
3 - 1 | Lincoln City (3455) |
7.5 |
| 20 FEB 2007 | LGE | Lincoln City (3590) |
1 - 4 | Hereford United (3523) |
23.3 |
| 8 AUG 2006 | LGE | Hereford United (3572) |
1 - 2 | Lincoln City (3552) |
12 |
| 22 FEB 1997 | LGE | Lincoln City (3461) |
3 - 3 | Hereford United (3437) |
2.5 |
| 19 NOV 1996 | LGE | Hereford United (3472) |
1 - 1 | Lincoln City (3481) |
1.6 |
| 27 MAR 1996 | LGE | Hereford United (3487) |
1 - 0 | Lincoln City (3431) |
6.6 |
| 13 FEB 1996 | LGE | Lincoln City (3433) |
2 - 1 | Hereford United (3471) |
9.1 |
| 28 JAN 1995 | LGE | Lincoln City (3472) |
2 - 0 | Hereford United (3367) |
8 |
| 29 OCT 1994 | LGE | Hereford United (3399) |
0 - 3 | Lincoln City (3458) |
18 |
| 19 FEB 1994 | LGE | Lincoln City (3448) |
3 - 1 | Hereford United (3404) |
10.2 |
| 28 AUG 1993 | LGE | Hereford United (3387) |
1 - 2 | Lincoln City (3496) |
8.9 |
| 20 FEB 1993 | LGE | Lincoln City (3521) |
2 - 0 | Hereford United (3389) |
7 |
| 1 SEP 1992 | LGE | Hereford United (3369) |
0 - 2 | Lincoln City (3511) |
12.1 |
| 20 APR 1992 | LGE | Lincoln City (3513) |
3 - 0 | Hereford United (3403) |
8.9 |
| 28 SEP 1991 | LGE | Hereford United (3478) |
3 - 0 | Lincoln City (3465) |
13.1 |
| 13 MAR 1991 | LGE | Hereford United (3484) |
0 - 1 | Lincoln City (3432) |
13.5 |
| 3 OCT 1990 | LGE | Lincoln City (3449) |
1 - 1 | Hereford United (3460) |
1.9 |
| 7 APR 1990 | LGE | Lincoln City (3481) |
1 - 0 | Hereford United (3466) |
7.4 |
| 28 OCT 1989 | LGE | Hereford United (3489) |
2 - 2 | Lincoln City (3517) |
1.4 |
| 11 FEB 1989 | LGE | Hereford United (3404) |
3 - 2 | Lincoln City (3488) |
10.1 |
| 24 SEP 1988 | LGE | Lincoln City (3473) |
2 - 0 | Hereford United (3408) |
9 |
| 4 APR 1987 | LGE | Lincoln City (3390) |
0 - 0 | Hereford United (3403) |
2.1 |
| 8 NOV 1986 | LGE | Hereford United (3443) |
0 - 0 | Lincoln City (3505) |
0.7 |
| 4 APR 1981 | LGE | Lincoln City (3611) |
1 - 0 | Hereford United (3349) |
2.2 |
| 1 NOV 1980 | LGE | Hereford United (3368) |
0 - 2 | Lincoln City (3615) |
9 |
| 2 APR 1980 | LGE | Hereford United (3409) |
0 - 0 | Lincoln City (3519) |
0.2 |
| 6 FEB 1980 | LGE | Lincoln City (3505) |
2 - 0 | Hereford United (3408) |
7.2 |
| 5 APR 1978 | LGE | Hereford United (3559) |
1 - 1 | Lincoln City (3632) |
0.9 |
| 28 SEP 1977 | LGE | Lincoln City (3655) |
0 - 0 | Hereford United (3648) |
3.1 |
| 27 JAN 1973 | LGE | Hereford United (3530) |
2 - 1 | Lincoln City (3494) |
6.3 |
| 9 SEP 1972 | LGE | Lincoln City (3527) |
4 - 1 | Hereford United (3478) |
10.4 |